Category Archives: UK

Bank of England, Bitcoin, BOJ, Budget, Central banks, Commodities, CPI, Crypto, ECB, Emerging Markets, Equities, Europe, Federal Reserve, Fiscal policy, Fixed Income, Government, Inflation, Japan, Keynesianism, Macro, Metals, money supply, Politics, Production, Revenues, Tech, UK, UK Treasury, US Treasury, USA

Burning Holes in Idlers’ Pockets

Posted on by Sean Corrigan

Inflation, Milton Friedman famously said, is a monetary phenomenon. But it is also one given the readiest of outlets through recourse to what we call ‘fiscal’ policy – i.e., by spendthrift governments borrowing money created at their call and forced into the system by means of warfare, welfare, contracting, cronyism, bureaucratic expansion and plain old boondogglery. Arguably, this is where we find ourselves today, in a world where supply is no longer likely to meet demand as abundantly and as effortlessly as has been the case these past twenty years.

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Agriculture, Bonds, Commodities, Credit, Energy, Equities, Europe, Fixed Income, Forex, futures, Gold, High Yield, Japan, Metals, Revenues, Tech, UK, USA

Tighten Your Belts: Market Observations

Posted on by Sean Corrigan

We ended the summer by saying that – barring another disastrous, COVID19-inspired, mass governmental embargo on everyday economic activity – the miners, makers, movers, and merchants of the things we need to run our lives when we are not scrolling through Instagram or pretending to pay attention to a yet another pointless Zoom conference would begin to make up ground lost in lockdown to the providers of such diversions. State interference would henceforth take other, more chronic forms of hindrance: tending deliberately to boost demand while making its satisfaction progressively more difficult. So far – broadly speaking – so good.

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Bank of England, Budget, Central banks, Economics, Fiscal policy, Fixed Income, Forex, Government, Inflation, Intervention, money supply, Revenues, UK, UK Treasury

A Great Deal of Ruin

Posted on by Sean Corrigan

The Johnson government’s approach to COVID19 has been a toxic mix of contradiction, vacillation, and jackbooted authoritarianism. There seems no exit strategy and no end to the spiralling cost. We take a critical look at the impact on the budget impact and discuss what it means for inflation.

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Banking, Central banks, China, Commodities, coronavirus, COVID19, ECB, Equities, Europe, Federal Reserve, Forex, Gold, Government, Inflation, Japan, Macro, Metals, money supply, Revenues, Tech, UK, USA

The Fall Approaches

Posted on by Sean Corrigan

OPEN ACCESS FOR A LIMITED TIME ONLY.
It’s not just the leaves that often turn when the year begins, with gathering pace, to slip towards its chilly end. Markets often do, too.

Given this backdrop, the sell-off in the Nasdaq – in the marvelled-at ‘Growth’ stocks, in the FAANGs, and in Tesla – comes at a moment which is particularly intriguing for reasons which go far beyond whatever coup SoftBank may or may not have attempted and whether those irritating Lockdown Livermores have finally gotten their comeuppance.

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Austrian Theory, Central banks, China, Commodities, Credit, Cycles, Donald Trump, ECB, Emerging Markets, Energy, Equities, Europe, Fixed Income, Forex, Gold, Inflation, Macro, Money, Oil, UK, USA, Volatility, Yield Curve

The Turn of the Tide

Posted on by Sean Corrigan

Have we finally reached the high-water mark of the current bull run? Is all the good news in – and the last, most shaky, marginal buyer along with it, inveigled in by the bounce from February’s brief Vol-au-Vent? If so, what are the implications? Where are the trigger points? How will any weakness manifest itself? 

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Austrian Theory, Bank of England, Banking, BOE, BOJ, Central banks, China, Commodities, Credit, Cycles, Draghi, ECB, Equities, Europe, Federal Reserve, Fixed Income, Forex, Japan, Macro, Money, UK, USA

The Mephisto Polka

Posted on by Sean Corrigan
[This article appeared in edited form in the Epoch Times and also in the Daily Telegraph] In her recent set-piece testimony before Congress, Janet Yellen made clear that she is determined to repeat the sort of ‘gradualism’ in raising rates that proved so disastrous after the Tech bust. In other words, that she will not […]
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Bank of England, BOE, Central banks, Commodities, Credit, ECB, Equities, Europe, Federal Reserve, Fixed Income, Gold, Japan, Keynesianism, Macro, Money, Oil, UK, USA

Pluto’s Republic

Posted on by Sean Corrigan

The more our would-be Philosopher Kings attempt to display the awesome panoply of their intellectual armour, the more we think, not of the Greek sage from whom they seem to draw inspiration, but of Mickey Mouse’s dopey canine friend. In bonds, the Bears are mounting another one of their forlorn hope charges against the central […]

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BOE, Commodities, Draghi, ECB, Equities, Europe, Federal Reserve, Fixed Income, Forex, Gold, Macro, Money, UK, USA

Cracks in the Facade: Monitor update

Posted on by Sean Corrigan

The new M4 is here. Tech tremors, Musk magic and a rich US equity market. Ex-energy to give it some gas? The pounded sterling and taking aim at the TARGET. Latest thoughts to be had by clicking on the link. 17-06-13 M4 No 4

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Bank of England, Brexit, China, Equities, Fixed Income, Forex, Japan, Macro, Money, UK, USA

Japan, sterling & more: Monitor Update

Posted on by Sean Corrigan

The latest edition can be had here:- 17-06-05 M4 No 3 Including a look at Japanese equities, the US dollar & sterling, the latest US data round, the significance of yield curves, and misconceptions about monetary ‘velocity’. Courtesy of Cantillon Consulting

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Austrian Theory, BOE, BOJ, Brexit, Central banks, Donald Trump, ECB, Entrepreneur, Equities, Federal Reserve, Fixed Income, Forex, Intervention, Macro, UK, USA

Uncertainty! GASP!

Posted on by Sean Corrigan

Amid the relative torpor of the US holiday, it might be the moment to wax a little philosophical and ask if you, the listener, have ever noticed that so much of what passes for economic wisdom today involves the persistent overuse of the word ‘uncertainty’?

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